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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245104060801004042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7224
#30
12.40.4
12.613.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 7.6
20.10.1
19.319.2
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Second
8899
#27
8.40.4
6.16.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 6.7
15.10.1
14.114.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.7
End0.6
Third
5695
#17
7.10.4
5.96.3
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6
blue by 4.6
4851
#24
11.70.1
9.89.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed