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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391901030506070804725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6152
#13
17.90.7
17.718.4
Auto6.1
Teleop10.4
End1.4
red by 8.6
9744
#34
9.40.3
8.98.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Second
4680
#18
10.80.7
9.09.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
red by 5.1
5619
#33
5.60.3
5.65.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.2
Third
4390
#32
8.60.7
6.06.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.7
End0.7
red by 3.6
4758
#38
5.10.3
5.14.8
Auto1.8
Teleop2.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned