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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634702040801001201403560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4405
#10
23.70.6
24.323.7
Auto9.9
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 5.8
5901
#11
17.90.3
17.718.1
Auto7.8
Teleop9.2
End1.0
Second
20.10.6
20.620.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 6.4
13.70.3
13.513.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
9744
#34
9.40.6
9.99.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.5
End1.9
blue by 4.3
7692
#28
13.70.3
13.513.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.4
End1.7