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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions862802040601001201401608836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.3
30.530.8
Auto11.6
Teleop18.7
End1.6
red by 17.1
4768
#14
14.80.0
14.714.7
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End1.8
Second
862
#1
29.70.3
28.328.6
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End2.6
red by 18.9
4680
#18
10.80.0
10.710.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.8
End1.1
Third
2673
#22
13.50.3
12.112.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.0
End2.4
red by 6.4
5695
#17
7.10.0
7.07.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.3
End1.6