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Red49
590111.7
43906.9
170125.5
Blue10
60964.6
96189.6
30968.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44270102040506070804910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.4
18.218.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 15.9
9618
#38
9.62.3
8.96.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Second
5901
#21
11.70.7
12.813.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 3.3
8.41.4
8.87.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.7
Third
4390
#30
6.90.7
7.17.8
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 2.2
6096
#22
4.62.3
8.46.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed