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Red51
835211.3
71457.2
43906.9
Blue43
97514.7
12321.7
20484.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26291520354045505143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.31.2
12.413.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End1.1
blue by 10.4
123
#7
21.70.2
15.615.8
Auto10.5
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
7145
#25
7.21.2
3.54.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
red by 2.5
9751
#28
4.70.2
4.04.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
Third
4390
#30
6.91.2
7.88.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 2.9
2048
#40
4.00.2
6.46.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed