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Red10
36329.1
54787.9
71457.2
Blue18
78565.1
48519.4
609915.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22230103040501018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3632
#27
9.11.3
6.75.4
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End0.6
blue by 6.1
6099
#17
15.20.3
12.412.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Second
5478
#23
7.90.8
7.56.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.9
blue by 1.6
4851
#20
9.40.3
4.44.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
7145
#25
7.21.3
5.54.2
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
red by 2.1
7856
#13
5.10.3
3.83.6
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed