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Red45
51976.7
57566.9
170125.5
Blue26
267310.1
92557.0
590111.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060801001204526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
18.218.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.6
End1.6
red by 13.8
5901
#21
11.70.4
11.911.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Second
5756
#16
6.91.1
8.89.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 3.3
2673
#24
10.10.4
9.99.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Third
5197
#34
6.71.1
8.09.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.8
End0.5
blue by 0.3
9255
#33
7.00.3
8.07.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed