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Red2
54675.6
71457.2
60964.6
Blue23
50652.9
719611.8
353924.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1544010203050607080223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7145
#25
7.21.6
4.22.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.2
End0.7
blue by 17.1
3539
#12
24.41.4
20.719.2
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
5467
#35
5.61.6
6.44.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 6.3
7196
#29
11.81.4
11.09.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.8
End0.4
Third
6096
#22
4.61.6
6.04.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End0.5
red by 1.7
5065
#15
2.91.4
4.32.8
Auto0.2
Teleop2.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed