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Red44
60299.9
97514.7
476810.2
Blue26
54787.9
96189.6
47586.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2322101520253035404426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4768
#19
10.21.3
7.58.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 0.5
9618
#38
9.60.1
5.55.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Second
6029
#14
9.90.8
8.69.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
red by 2.1
5478
#23
7.90.1
6.76.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Third
9751
#28
4.71.3
4.35.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 2.1
4758
#36
6.80.1
7.67.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed