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Red37
828012.7
262021.8
96189.6
Blue19
57566.9
609915.2
43906.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402901020506070803719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
16.316.1
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End2.5
red by 6.6
6099
#17
15.21.0
10.69.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Second
12.70.2
9.79.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
red by 5.8
4390
#30
6.91.0
8.17.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Third
9618
#38
9.64.6
13.58.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 2.8
5756
#16
6.91.0
8.97.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed