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Red4
54675.6
25918.5
97514.7
Blue21
36329.1
48383.4
267310.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26320102040506070421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2591
#11
8.52.5
8.86.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 1.7
2673
#24
10.11.9
9.77.8
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End2.0
Second
5467
#35
5.62.5
8.96.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
blue by 3.5
3632
#27
9.11.9
9.17.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End0.6
Third
9751
#28
4.72.5
6.54.0
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
red by 1.3
4838
#32
3.41.9
9.37.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed