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Red48
81522.2
55323.5
353924.4
Blue18
57566.9
476810.2
590111.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573202040801001204818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#12
24.40.0
23.423.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 12.7
5901
#21
11.71.1
13.212.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Second
815
#2
22.20.0
21.721.7
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 12.0
4768
#19
10.21.0
10.49.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Third
5532
#31
3.50.0
3.13.1
Auto0.9
Teleop2.2
End0.4
blue by 3.3
5756
#16
6.91.0
8.07.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed