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Red28
46807.1
97514.7
36329.1
Blue45
590111.7
54675.6
828012.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213701030506070802845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3632
#27
9.10.2
8.48.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End0.6
blue by 3.6
12.70.3
13.713.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
4680
#10
7.10.2
7.67.4
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End1.0
blue by 4.6
5901
#21
11.70.3
12.111.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Third
9751
#28
4.70.2
4.94.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End1.2
blue by 0.9
5467
#35
5.60.3
5.85.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed