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Red25
60299.9
25918.5
57566.9
Blue25
48519.4
828012.7
30968.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27360102040506070802525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6029
#14
9.90.0
9.99.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End1.9
blue by 2.7
12.70.1
13.012.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
2591
#11
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.3
blue by 1.0
4851
#20
9.40.1
9.89.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
5756
#16
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 1.5
8.40.1
8.78.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End0.7