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Red68
717429.6
81522.2
722411.5
Blue71
262021.8
353924.4
36329.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7155204060801006871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.1
29.229.4
Auto10.9
Teleop16.0
End2.7
red by 5.3
3539
#12
24.40.2
23.023.3
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Second
815
#2
22.20.1
21.821.9
Auto9.7
Teleop10.0
End2.5
red by 0.4
21.80.2
20.620.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End2.5
Third
7224
#18
11.50.1
11.111.2
Auto5.7
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 2.4
3632
#27
9.10.2
7.88.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End0.6