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Red27
553415.4
63459.2
97737.9
Blue44
77135.8
656920.8
85724.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28450102040506070802744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#33
15.40.6
11.310.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End2.7
blue by 9.0
857
#3
24.40.5
15.815.3
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Second
6345
#27
9.20.6
7.46.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End2.2
blue by 11.6
20.80.5
12.512.0
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
9773
#16
7.90.6
8.68.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
red by 2.1
7713
#26
5.80.5
10.19.6
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed