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Red51
353710.0
611310.1
439134.9
Blue43
967412.1
92497.8
782616.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442204060805143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.5
19.921.4
Auto16.5
Teleop17.5
End0.9
red by 18.4
7826
#15
16.51.7
6.48.1
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Second
6113
#18
10.11.5
8.09.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
blue by 1.9
9674
#17
12.11.7
8.510.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
3537
#23
10.01.5
9.410.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 2.2
9249
#34
7.81.7
7.59.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed