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Red36
57068.1
663713.2
159618.4
Blue22
778213.6
972210.3
65583.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27350102030405060703622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.40.4
7.47.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
red by 4.8
7782
#14
13.61.0
16.515.6
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Second
6637
#10
13.20.4
10.110.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 2.8
9722
#22
10.31.0
9.28.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Third
5706
#24
8.10.4
7.57.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
red by 4.5
6558
#25
3.71.0
5.14.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed