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Red30
776816.8
663713.2
611310.1
Blue15
159618.4
608810.4
92497.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932010205060703015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.5
10.09.6
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 1.6
18.41.7
10.28.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Second
6637
#10
13.20.5
13.713.2
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 2.8
6088
#30
10.41.7
10.08.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.1
End1.6
Third
6113
#18
10.10.5
10.510.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
red by 2.4
9249
#34
7.81.7
9.88.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed