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Red15
54866.2
360214.4
353710.0
Blue5
65583.7
57026.0
92497.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2518010304050607080155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.40.7
9.48.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.5
End2.6
red by 6.6
9249
#34
7.81.2
5.64.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.9
Second
3537
#23
10.00.7
8.37.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.6
End1.3
red by 3.9
5702
#29
6.01.2
7.05.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.3
Third
5486
#11
6.20.7
4.33.6
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 2.5
6558
#25
3.71.2
4.23.0
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed