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Red6
778213.6
97332.3
60796.3
Blue53
782616.5
365517.9
776816.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23530406080100653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7782
#14
13.61.9
14.812.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.2
End1.3
blue by 4.3
17.90.9
14.215.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Second
6079
#32
6.31.9
7.85.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 10.4
16.80.9
17.518.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
9733
#38
2.31.9
1.7-0.2
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
blue by 14.2
7826
#15
16.50.9
12.613.5
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed