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Red32
972210.3
611310.1
91885.2
Blue26
483511.8
57068.1
97555.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282104060803226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9722
#22
10.30.8
9.78.9
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
blue by 1.4
4835
#20
11.80.6
6.97.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Second
6113
#18
10.10.8
8.88.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End1.2
red by 2.0
5706
#24
8.10.6
8.28.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
9188
#13
5.20.7
5.95.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 0.3
9755
#35
5.40.6
4.75.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed