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Red30
97332.3
782616.5
57026.0
Blue70
365517.9
656920.8
159618.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1656040801001203070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7826
#15
16.50.9
13.514.3
Auto8.9
Teleop6.2
End1.4
blue by 4.3
20.81.3
15.917.3
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
5702
#29
6.00.9
5.86.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.3
End1.3
blue by 12.3
18.41.3
15.116.4
Auto9.3
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Third
9733
#38
2.30.9
-0.20.7
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
blue by 15.6
17.91.3
15.116.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed