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Red41
85724.4
97737.9
60796.3
Blue8
97332.3
48279.7
972210.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42300102050607080418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
24.40.6
16.415.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.7
End3.3
red by 14.1
9722
#22
10.33.6
10.26.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Second
9773
#16
7.91.8
10.48.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End1.4
blue by 1.8
4827
#28
9.72.5
10.47.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.5
End2.6
Third
6079
#32
6.30.6
10.710.1
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 4.0
9733
#38
2.33.3
3.46.6
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed