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Red29
58785.9
365517.9
954810.2
Blue41
65583.7
776816.8
483511.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382401020305060702941

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.6
15.114.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
red by 1.1
16.82.0
9.611.6
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Second
9548
#31
10.20.6
8.47.8
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.3
blue by 1.6
4835
#20
11.82.0
7.89.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7
Third
5878
#36
5.90.6
8.98.3
Auto3.7
Teleop0.4
End1.8
red by 2.3
6558
#25
3.72.0
5.87.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed