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Red57
258620.2
656920.8
60796.3
Blue30
365517.9
776816.8
954810.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515130354045556065705730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.2
20.620.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 2.9
17.90.4
18.217.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Second
20.20.2
20.020.2
Auto9.0
Teleop9.0
End2.3
red by 3.5
16.80.4
17.116.8
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
6079
#32
6.30.2
6.16.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.7
End0.7
blue by 3.8
9548
#31
10.20.4
10.510.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.3