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Red31
967412.1
972210.3
91885.2
Blue50
365517.9
776816.8
954810.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27540204060801003150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9674
#17
12.10.1
12.012.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 5.8
17.90.1
18.118.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.7
End2.3
Second
9722
#22
10.30.1
10.310.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End0.7
blue by 6.4
16.80.1
17.017.1
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End1.5
Third
9188
#13
5.20.1
5.15.2
Auto2.2
Teleop2.6
End0.5
blue by 5.0
9548
#31
10.20.1
10.410.5
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.3