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Red48
168425.9
99975.7
612014.4
Blue55
561219.4
553023.4
24525.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4510101502004855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#25
25.90.7
27.927.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End1.2
red by 0.4
245
#30
25.52.0
32.430.5
Auto7.6
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Second
6120
#14
14.40.7
14.113.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 9.0
5530
#13
23.42.0
28.026.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.8
End2.2
Third
9997
#36
5.71.1
11.210.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.2
End-0.4
blue by 13.6
5612
#33
19.42.0
24.222.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsMissed