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Red77
370726.9
584326.3
150214.1
Blue66
571235.0
353931.5
168425.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691200501001502007766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#10
26.90.5
28.729.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.1
blue by 8.1
35.02.9
38.535.6
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
26.30.5
22.923.4
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End1.0
blue by 5.3
31.52.9
36.833.9
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End3.3
Third
1502
#37
14.10.5
16.617.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 11.8
1684
#25
25.92.9
26.823.9
Auto4.6
Teleop20.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed