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Red94
353931.5
860833.7
546042.2
Blue53
778414.3
7024.6
436227.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134690501001502009453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.21.6
41.439.8
Auto14.1
Teleop27.5
End0.6
red by 14.8
4362
#26
27.41.2
27.826.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End3.5
Second
8608
#12
33.71.6
37.936.3
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End4.5
red by 9.2
70
#19
24.61.2
25.424.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.7
End4.6
Third
31.51.6
33.932.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.5
End3.3
red by 17.2
7784
#29
14.31.2
17.216.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsEarned64%Ensemble oddsMissed