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Red68
332225.5
283417.2
353428.1
Blue51
361814.4
561219.4
24713.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874401001506851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#11
28.10.7
28.928.2
Auto8.4
Teleop17.1
End2.6
red by 8.7
5612
#33
19.40.4
20.621.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End3.4
Second
3322
#16
25.50.7
27.126.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.6
End3.6
red by 11.1
3618
#31
14.40.4
12.512.9
Auto6.9
Teleop5.9
End1.7
Third
2834
#18
17.20.7
17.516.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End4.5
red by 3.9
247
#35
13.30.4
11.512.0
Auto8.1
Teleop2.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned