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Red74
213725.3
49426.9
566020.4
Blue86
283417.2
370726.9
705625.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82762040601001207486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#7
26.90.0
26.826.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 0.1
3707
#10
26.90.3
26.426.8
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.1
Second
25.30.0
25.225.2
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 0.6
7056
#28
25.80.3
25.325.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.7
End1.1
Third
5660
#21
20.40.0
20.320.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.9
End0.9
red by 3.1
2834
#18
17.20.3
16.717.1
Auto6.2
Teleop6.6
End4.5