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Red85
24525.5
233731.4
571235.0
Blue74
566020.4
49426.9
213725.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109770501001502008574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.5
36.135.7
Auto13.4
Teleop19.3
End2.3
red by 8.2
494
#7
26.90.0
26.826.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Second
31.40.5
32.532.0
Auto7.1
Teleop20.9
End3.4
red by 6.1
25.30.0
25.225.3
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
245
#30
25.50.5
26.726.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.4
End1.5
red by 5.2
5660
#21
20.40.0
20.320.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.9
End0.9