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Red105
54824.9
170132.5
776935.1
Blue115
168427.9
2743.0
150629.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001120200300400105115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.2
34.935.1
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End2.5
blue by 7.9
27
#16
43.00.2
42.843.0
Auto14.6
Teleop24.8
End3.6
Second
32.50.2
32.432.5
Auto10.7
Teleop20.3
End1.6
red by 2.6
29.90.2
29.729.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.0
End3.3
Third
548
#11
24.90.2
24.724.9
Auto9.1
Teleop13.0
End2.8
blue by 3.0
1684
#22
27.90.2
27.727.9
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End0.4