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Red79
36192.6
584326.8
546043.2
Blue57
686113.9
749115.8
353825.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8655020401001201407957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.0
42.742.6
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End0.7
red by 18.1
3538
#32
25.10.6
23.522.9
Auto13.2
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Second
5843
#21
26.80.0
28.228.2
Auto10.8
Teleop14.9
End1.1
red by 11.0
7491
#27
15.80.6
16.215.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End1.4
Third
3619
#33
2.60.0
3.63.6
Auto2.3
Teleop-0.3
End0.6
blue by 11.3
6861
#34
13.90.6
14.013.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed