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Red45
749115.8
168427.9
46924.8
Blue50
721119.5
30222.4
82807.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875601001504550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#22
27.92.0
32.230.3
Auto5.9
Teleop21.5
End0.4
red by 5.5
302
#15
22.40.9
23.422.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.3
End3.3
Second
469
#29
24.82.0
24.322.4
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End1.7
red by 5.2
7211
#18
19.50.9
20.719.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Third
7491
#27
15.82.0
18.116.1
Auto7.0
Teleop7.4
End1.4
red by 8.5
8280
#26
7.30.9
10.19.2
Auto5.0
Teleop0.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsEarned