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Red54
814512.1
686113.9
30222.4
Blue90
317525.4
721119.5
776935.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498502040601001201405490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#15
22.40.2
22.823.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.3
End3.3
blue by 12.7
35.10.8
32.333.1
Auto13.3
Teleop19.3
End2.5
Second
6861
#34
13.90.2
13.713.9
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End1.7
blue by 11.5
25.40.8
22.823.6
Auto10.3
Teleop13.5
End1.6
Third
8145
#19
12.10.2
11.812.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.4
End0.3
blue by 7.5
7211
#18
19.50.8
17.918.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed