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Red126
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue104
168432.2
546043.9
233734.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411950100200250126104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.0
53.353.3
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 10.0
43.90.1
44.143.9
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
148
#4
42.60.0
42.042.0
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
red by 8.4
34.10.1
34.334.1
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
32.50.0
31.931.9
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
red by 0.3
32.20.1
32.432.2
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1