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Red65
742125.5
463533.1
347840.4
Blue133
168432.2
233734.1
546043.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139905015020025030065133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.42.4
41.038.6
Auto10.6
Teleop26.1
End3.7
blue by 3.5
43.92.1
37.539.6
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
33.12.4
33.831.4
Auto8.1
Teleop24.3
End0.7
blue by 1.1
34.12.1
27.829.8
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
25.52.4
26.123.8
Auto6.2
Teleop19.3
End-0.0
blue by 6.8
32.22.1
25.927.9
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed