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Red92
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue130
776933.8
170129.7
439143.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10413405015020092130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.4
39.739.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
red by 0.4
43.50.8
47.147.9
Auto14.7
Teleop26.4
End2.4
Second
34.10.4
30.029.6
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
red by 0.3
33.80.8
37.438.2
Auto11.0
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Third
32.20.4
28.127.7
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
red by 2.6
29.70.8
33.334.1
Auto9.1
Teleop20.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed