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Red116
546043.9
233734.1
168432.2
Blue184
571240.4
207545.7
276744.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105171050150200250116184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.9
41.342.2
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
blue by 1.8
45.71.7
51.252.8
Auto13.3
Teleop28.6
End3.8
Second
34.10.9
31.532.4
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
blue by 10.2
44.41.7
49.951.6
Auto11.5
Teleop27.5
End5.4
Third
32.20.9
29.630.5
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
blue by 8.1
40.41.7
45.947.6
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed