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Red179
436250.4
2749.2
3352.9
Blue98
168432.2
233734.1
546043.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1661215010015020025030017998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
52.92.2
50.552.7
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
red by 9.0
43.91.1
45.544.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End1.1
Second
50.42.2
48.050.2
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
red by 16.3
34.11.1
35.734.6
Auto10.2
Teleop22.4
End1.6
Third
27
#1
49.22.2
46.849.1
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
red by 17.0
32.21.1
33.832.7
Auto6.2
Teleop26.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed