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Red69
511422.3
516626.7
353615.1
Blue77
365621.0
150629.8
213728.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87940501502002506977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.7
31.931.2
Auto8.2
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 3.1
29.80.8
31.630.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.6
End2.3
Second
22.30.7
27.526.8
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End3.4
blue by 5.9
28.20.8
30.029.2
Auto6.0
Teleop19.1
End3.0
Third
15.10.7
20.319.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 5.9
21.00.8
22.821.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.5
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed