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Red179
353832.5
14842.6
300553.9
Blue208
3352.9
2749.2
436250.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127174050100150200250300350179208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.93.8
51.054.8
Auto16.1
Teleop36.8
End1.0
red by 1.0
33
#1
52.92.4
52.755.1
Auto14.5
Teleop36.4
End2.1
Second
148
#4
42.63.8
39.743.5
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End2.6
blue by 7.8
50.42.4
50.252.6
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End3.8
Third
32.53.8
29.733.4
Auto7.8
Teleop21.7
End3.0
blue by 16.7
27
#1
49.22.4
49.151.5
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed