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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3943203050606447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#29
16.30.3
13.714.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
blue by 6.4
494
#7
22.70.9
16.817.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Second
5674
#32
12.90.3
12.112.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 4.0
16.90.9
12.513.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End0.9
Third
8193
#16
12.70.3
10.310.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End1.4
red by 1.9
9251
#30
10.80.9
9.310.3
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed