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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453602060806736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.32.5
21.824.3
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 12.0
314
#29
16.30.2
14.414.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
7772
#20
11.52.3
9.611.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.7
End0.9
red by 1.8
5235
#35
9.80.2
9.710.0
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
8385
#33
11.02.5
8.210.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 5.3
5517
#37
5.70.2
9.910.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed