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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24510204060804059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#32
12.91.5
9.410.9
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End0.6
blue by 19.6
32.51.5
26.427.8
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
Second
8385
#33
11.01.5
10.712.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End0.6
red by 3.2
6071
#36
7.81.5
9.711.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.7
Third
5527
#28
7.51.5
5.16.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.6
End1.7
red by 0.3
5150
#34
7.11.5
6.88.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed