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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845720401001201408869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.3
31.631.9
Auto12.4
Teleop16.9
End3.3
red by 9.1
23.40.3
22.723.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
Second
28.30.3
27.427.7
Auto15.6
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 8.8
68
#2
19.50.3
18.719.0
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
Third
5612
#17
14.90.3
14.014.3
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End0.9
red by 0.6
9572
#18
14.40.3
13.613.9
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6