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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605802040801001201401607251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.4
22.322.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End1.7
red by 3.6
5603
#24
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto8.3
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Second
68
#2
19.50.4
18.318.7
Auto8.9
Teleop8.9
End1.7
red by 1.4
3534
#12
18.10.0
18.318.3
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Third
9572
#18
14.40.4
13.213.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 0.1
14.40.0
14.714.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3